TRACKING THE TROPICS: Monitoring three disturbances in the Atlantic

The National Hurricane Center is tracking three areas of disturbed weather across the Atlantic basin, with one system showing potential for development over the next week.

Florida and Bahamas Face Heavy Rain Threat

A weak low-pressure system near the northwestern Bahamas continues to produce disorganized shower activity as it drifts toward southern Florida. The system is expected to move west-northwestward across the northwestern Bahamas and approach southern Florida over the next day or two.

While tropical development is not expected due to strong upper-level winds, the system poses a significant rainfall threat. Heavy rain could lead to flash flooding across portions of Florida's east coast and the northwestern Bahamas during the next few days.

The formation chance remains low at near 0 percent through both 48 hours and seven days.

Gulf Coast System Moves Toward Texas

A second weak low-pressure area has formed over the north-central Gulf of Mexico, producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms off the coasts of Louisiana, Mississippi and Alabama.

This system is forecast to move slowly northwestward over the next day or two, reaching the Texas coast by Monday. Like the Bahamas system, development is not expected due to strong upper-level winds.

Formation chances remain low at near 0 percent for both the 48-hour and seven-day periods.

Atlantic Wave Shows Development Potential

The most promising system for potential development lies in the tropical Atlantic, where a tropical wave between the west coast of Africa and the Cabo Verde Islands is producing a broad area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms.

Gradual development of this wave is possible over the next few days. The system could become a tropical depression by the middle to latter part of next week while moving across the central tropical Atlantic and approaching portions of the Leeward Islands.

Formation chances remain low at near 0 percent through 48 hours but increase to medium at 50 percent through seven days.

The next name will be "Jerry" followed by "Karen".