Development in the Caribbean Sea possible

A tropical wave located over the tropical central Atlantic is expected to move westward at 15 to 20 mph during the next several days.

Some slow development of this system is possible when it reaches the central portion of the Caribbean Sea by the middle part of next week.

The Caribbean Sea will be a hotspot in the final six weeks of hurricane season.

In late October and November, most development takes place in the Caribbean Sea. That's because wind shear weakens in this basin while it increases over the Atlantic.

Furthermore, sea surface temperatures in the Caribbean remain quite warm through November, making it a hotspot for potential development.

The season seems really calm. Is it close to "average?"

For the Gulf and Caribbean, the season has been exceptionally inactive. For these two basins in particular, this is the least active season since 1991. But, with development in the Atlantic, and many "fish storms," the season is on par for average to this point.

The hurricane season officially ends on November 30.