Meteorologist: Oceana Hayden
•5/16/2026

SOUTHWEST FLORIDA, (WINK) — The day is off to a pleasant start, with temperatures in the low 70s and plenty of sunshine through the first half of the day. Temperatures will climb quickly, reaching the 80s by 9 a.m. and the 90s by noon.
Humidity is slightly lower today, though it will begin increasing again heading into the work week.
Winds will be out of the southeast before turning southwesterly this afternoon at 5–15 mph.
Rain chances remain low through most of the day, but isolated showers and thunderstorms could begin developing inland after 3 p.m. and continue through the dinner hours.
Closer to sunset, scattered storms may become more numerous, with southern coastal communities seeing a chance for showers and storms between 8 and 9 p.m.
Sunday will start out much like Saturday, though morning temperatures will be a bit warmer and humidity levels will continue to rise. Most areas should stay dry through the first half of the day, with only a stray shower possible before noon.
Tropical moisture moving in overnight and through Sunday will increase storm coverage during the afternoon and evening hours, with coastal communities likely seeing more widespread rainfall. Expect a typical summer weather pattern, with storms developing inland and pushing east to west later in the day.
If you have outdoor plans, the best window will be during the morning and early afternoon. Keep an umbrella nearby for anything later in the day, as rain chances increase by late afternoon and early evening.
Highs will remain well above average, reaching the mid-90s.
Rain chances stay elevated to start the work week before tapering back to around 30% coverage later in the week.
Temperatures will remain a few degrees above average each day, with highs consistently in the 90s.
It should be a pleasant day on the water, but be sure to pack plenty of water and find ways to stay cool in the heat.
Winds will be out of the south at 5–10 knots in the Gulf, with a light chop on the bays. Clouds will gradually increase through the afternoon.
The UV index is very high at 11, so don’t forget sun protection.