Meteorologist: Oceana Hayden
•8/1/2026
Today starts off warm and muggy, with morning lows in the upper 70s. Most areas will remain dry early, but Lee and Charlotte counties could see a few passing coastal showers through the morning.
By early afternoon, around 1 p.m., isolated showers and thunderstorms will begin developing along the coast before pushing inland. That will leave coastal communities drier by the evening as the focus for rain shifts farther inland.
The Weather Prediction Center has placed parts of Southwest Florida, primarily our northern communities, under a Level 1 (Marginal) Risk for excessive rainfall. This means one or two stronger storms could produce localized flooding in poor drainage areas.
Afternoon highs will stay below average, topping out in the lower 90s. Most of Collier County will likely stay dry throughout your Saturday. Heads up if you head to the beach, there is a high rip current risk for Lee and Charlotte County beaches.
Sunday will begin on a wetter note, with scattered showers possible along the coast during the morning. Rain and storm coverage will continue to increase through the afternoon and evening across Southwest Florida.
With more clouds and rain around, temperatures will be held down even more, and many locations may struggle to reach 90 degrees.
The new workweek begins with the chance for a few morning showers. Later in the week, a shift in the wind pattern will bring higher rain chances back to the coastline. Temperatures are expected to remain at or slightly below average throughout the week.
West winds at 5 to 10 knots will continue today, with Gulf seas running 2 to 3 feet. Boating conditions remain generally favorable, but keep an eye on the radar during the first half of the day for a few passing showers and thunderstorms.
The tropics remain quiet, with the National Hurricane Center not expecting any tropical development over the next seven days. While there is nothing to watch right now, August 1 marks the beginning of the climatological peak of hurricane season, making this the time of year to stay prepared and keep an eye on the tropics.
