Meteorologist: Oceana Hayden and Andrew Shiptofsky
•8/15/2026
Southwest Florida will turn quieter tonight as scattered showers and storms gradually wind down.
Most areas will stay dry overnight, although a stray shower cannot be ruled out.
Temperatures will remain warm and humid, only falling into the upper 70s to around 80 degrees by Sunday morning.
A major pattern change begins Sunday as drier air moves into Southwest Florida, limiting our rain chances.
While a stray shower is still possible, most of the area will stay dry with plenty of sunshine.
That sunshine will help temperatures climb right back into the mid to upper 90s. Factoring in the humidity, it could feel between 105 and 113 degrees during the afternoon.
Another Heat Advisory is likely for Sunday as dangerous heat continues across Southwest Florida.
If you have outdoor plans, drink plenty of water, take frequent breaks in the shade or air conditioning and avoid extended time outside during the hottest part of the day.
The drier pattern will stick around through much of the upcoming workweek. Rain chances stay low through Tuesday, with only isolated storm chances Wednesday through Friday.
Despite the lower rain chances, the heat is not going anywhere. Afternoon highs will remain in the mid 90s for much of the next week, running several degrees above our normal high of 92 degrees.
By next weekend, moisture begins to return, bringing rain chances back up with scattered storms possible.
The Atlantic is also becoming quieter. Invest 94L is now unlikely to develop, with strong wind shear and dry air making it difficult for thunderstorms to organize.
It's a familiar story after Invest 92L also struggled to organize earlier this week.
One of the biggest reasons is the strengthening El Niño.
Meanwhile, the Pacific is telling a very different story.
Hurricane Lala strengthened into a Category 1 hurricane Saturday with maximum sustained winds of 75 mph as it approached Hawaii's Big Island.
The storm is bringing heavy rain, gusty winds, dangerous surf and flooding concerns, with a hurricane warning in effect for the Big Island.
