Meteorologist: Katie Walls, David Nazario
•8/14/2026
SOUTHWEST FLORIDA (WINK) —The 8 p.m. outlook from the Hurricane Center is in. The good news just keeps piling up!
Ordinarily, that's not something you usually associate with a hurricane season. However, as of 8 p.m., development chances for our two disturbances out in the tropics are back to code yellow. This means the likelihood we see development inside this weekend and out to seven days is dropping fairly quickly.
Our lead disturbance, making its final approach toward the Lesser Antilles of the Caribbean Sea, is no longer tagged an area of investigation.
National Hurricane Center is confident this is no longer a feature worth keeping under the microscope. Some of the latest model trends with this system are interesting.
Right now, it seems the long-term solution appears to have it swooping over Central America as a remnant wave and then taking advantage of the optimal environment across the Eastern Pacific and developing there. It would go on to spin freely in the Pacific Ocean, causing no issue for anyone on land.
Disturbance 94L is trying to hold on to some thunderstorms near its supposed center tonight. The actual energy itself is still entangled with our tropical wind belt down there. That means it still has a lifeline as solely a disturbance, and isn't in a hurry to organize into a depression, let alone our next named storm.
I do want us to keep at least one eye on it over the next seven days. It looks to gain some latitude and try to escape the hostile conditions that are currently squashing its lead counterpart.
In the long-term, this could go on to bring us some much-needed rainfall sometime into next weekend.
Otherwise, the Atlantic is clear for the time being. Conditions are still fair enough for another area of interest to appear over the next few days, but right now the risk of anything tropical developing in the short term is low, and we're sitting pretty (and hot) here in Southwest Florida. Stick with the WINK Weather Authority for all your accurate, timely, and reliable tropical updates moving through the season.
